In academic writing, using literal word choices whenever possible is of the utmost importance.  As the writer, you want the explanation of your research to be shown as exact and true in regard to your findings, and although some expressions and words may popularly and colloquially mean one thing, their true definitions may mean another.  When editing dissertation content, be on the lookout for the following 5 words to make your intention of meaning as clear as possible.

since/because

The word since denotes the passage of time—something occurred in the period since something else occurred.  The word because denotes cause and effect—the result of X is because of Y.

Incorrect: The researchers included only participants in their area since the experiment required a small sample size.

Correct: The researchers included only participants in their area because the experiment required a small sample size.

 

while/although

In its literal sense, while should be used to refer to X occurring while Y occurs. However, writers regularly use it in the place of although, though, or even though depending on your intent.

Incorrect: While the limitations are reasonable, the research is practical.

Correct: Although the limitations are reasonable, the research is practical.

 

regard/regards

Regard, typically preceded by the preposition in, should be used to denote X concerning Y. Regards is typically a valedictory, or the closing section of a letter, such as sincerely.

Incorrect: In regards to past findings, the researcher came to similar conclusions.

Correct: In regard to past findings, the researcher came to similar conclusions.

 

affect/effect

When it comes to the difference between affect and effect, most writers know there is a difference—it’s just a matter of remembering what that difference is that trips them up. The difference can be subtle at times, but in its simplest form, affect is a verb and effect is a noun (except in rare cases where effect means to create a result; you can usually ignore this case). A trick you can use to remind yourself is: “The effect is the result of affect.” Also, if an article (a, an, the) precedes affect/effect, you should most often expect the correct usage there to be effect (an effect, the effect).  This will be helpful when editing dissertation content.

 Incorrect: The affect of this managerial style on employees is well documented.

 Correct: The effect of this managerial style on employees is well documented.

 

impact/influence, effect, affect

When editing dissertations, the misuse (and overuse) of the word impact is undoubtedly the word-choice error I see the most as a copy editor. In academic writing, impact should be reserved to mean a literal collision. Depending on the construction of the sentence, influence, affect, or effect can usually be used in its place to convey a precise connotation.

Incorrect: Roberts et al. (2013) described the impact of socioeconomic status on youths in inner-city Tampa.

Correct: Roberts et al. (2013) described the effect of socioeconomic status on youths in inner-city Tampa.

Train yourself to think critically about the words you are writing. If it seems a word could have more than one meaning, take the time to look it up, and remember that using literal word choices is a key to academic writing that increases the reliability and trustworthiness of your research. To quickly scan for and correct word-choice issues when editing dissertation content, you can use ctrl+f on the Windows platform or command+f on the Apple platform to find and replace.


September 2013 Newsletter

Well we’ve all been accepted into a graduate program, now we have to figure out how we can complete the program. And how do we complete the program with the least expense in terms of time and money? I see graduate school as three interconnected blocks: coursework, comprehensive exams, and the dissertation.

Coursework.  Most coursework is a matter of reading, rereading, and comprehending densely written research articles.  First, read the abstract, the topic sentences of each section, and the entire discussion section.  Also, ask questions about the figures and tables, trying to figure out what is being presented.  I always enjoyed reading an article and thinking, “what in the world are they trying to convey here?” then seeing the elegance in the research design and analysis (for fun, look at any of the Robert Rescorla articles and you’ll see what I mean).  Importantly, keep track of the articles and what you got out of them—they can be helpful when putting together a comprehensive exam list!

Comprehensive exams.  If there is any time for anxiety, comprehensive exams is that time.  At Miami University in Ohio, I had over 130 articles and chapters that I was responsible for and 16 hours over 2 days to “tell them what I know.”  In addition to staying organized, use that organization to start your dissertation literature review, and focus on what type of study and the topic of the study that you’ll be doing in the upcoming months.

Dissertation.  The dissertation is a process all by itself.  But if you thought about your dissertation during the comprehensive exam part of your experience, you’ll be ahead of the game.  We have several free dissertation resources that can really help you jump start all the chapters of your dissertation.  For more personalized one–on-one help, you can schedule a free consultation with one of our specialists here.

Putting it all together. Graduate school is not what it’s “supposed to be,” but rather “what it actually is.” A colleague named Lee came to my home one Sunday afternoon and I asked him if he was working.  He told me that he never worked Sundays.   I couldn’t believe that any student ever took off any day—including Sundays. But Lee did, and he graduated just fine, and seems to continue to be living a full life.  Work-life balance is your responsibility.  Keep family and fun in your weekly mix of life.

What is margin of error?  Margin of error is an interval estimate—a pair of percentages surrounding a guess about some attribute of the full population based on a random sample from that population.  “Margin of error allows us to feel confident a certain percentage of the time, within a range above or below the ideal guess, represented by a margin we believe is least in error” (Statistics Solutions, 2013a, para. 5).

Why do we use margin of error?  Whenever we use a representative sample to guess something about a full population, our guess will contain some uncertainty.  Using our sample statistic, we have to infer the real statistic—and that inference will mean our guess will usually be somewhere near the actual figure (a bit too low or a bit too high, Statistics Solutions, 2013b).

How does margin of error work?  Let’s say we conduct a survey of college students at four year institutions asking whether they prefer physical text books or electronic books (eBooks).  According to the U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics (2012) there are about 13,494,131 students at four year institutions.  We can’t realistically survey 13,494,131 students, so we gather a random sample from 2,500 that are representative of the full population.  Let’s say our data show that 1,875 out of 2,500 prefer eBooks (1875 / 2500 = .75 or 75%).  Our margin of error, at a 95% confidence level, would be ±2% (M = 75,  95% CI ).  But how did we get the ±2% figure for margin of error (our confidence interval)?  According to Sullivan (2006), our basic formula for a dichotomous outcome is:

margin of error = critical value * standard error

The resulting margin of error is what we will add or subtract from our guess to create our confidence interval.  What is the critical value?  The critical value is a cut-off value that tells us how far from the sample mean we can vary and remain confident—usually one standard deviation from the mean.  We usually look it up in a z table or t table, although we can also compute it.  For our example, for a large sample size of 2,500 and a 95% level of confidence, our critical value would be ±1.96.

What do we mean by standard error?  Well, standard error is to a sample what standard deviation is to a population.  To compute it, per Smith (2009), we estimate the population proportion (a number between 0 and 1).  Our statistic is 75%, so as a proportion that would be 75 / 100 = .75.  We might call this p but we don’t know p for sure, so we use (pronounced p-hat).  Now we’re ready to calculate standard error using our statistic (.75).  The formula is just:

             SE = sqrt ((1 – ) / n)

Where:  SE stands for standard error, is our estimated population proportion, and n is our sample size.  Substituting our values we get:

SE = sqrt (.75 (1 – .75) / 2500) = .0087

Now let’s use our complete formula (margin of error = critical value * standard error)

            E = 1.96 * sqrt ((1 – ) / n) = (1.96 * .0087) = .017

To get our interval, all we need to do is subtract from or add to our guess (while rounding to 2 decimal places):

= ( – (1.96 * SE),   + (1.96 * SE) ) = (.75 – .017),  (.75 + .017) = (.73,  .77)

So, our margin of error, at a 95% confidence level, would be M = 75,  95% CI (based on Smith, 2009; Sullivan, 2006).


References

Smith, R. L. (2009). Point and interval estimates. Available at http://www.unc.edu/~rls/s151-09/class19.pdf

Statistics Solutions. (2013a). Margin of error. Available at https://www.statisticssolutions.com/margin-of-error/

Statistics Solutions. (2013b). Why do we have margin of error in statistics? Available at https://www.statisticssolutions.com/why-do-we-have-margin-of-error-in-statistics/

Sullivan, L. M. (2006). Estimation from samples. Circulation, 114(5), 445-449. doi:10.1161/​CIRCULATIONAHA.105.600189

U.S. Department of Education. Institute of Education Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics. (2012). Table 223: Total fall enrollment in degree-granting institutions, by control and level of institution: 1970 through 2011. In U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics (Ed.), Digest of Education Statistics (2012 ed.). Retrieved from http://nces.ed.gov/programs/digest/d12/tables/dt12_223.asp

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It is difficult to understate the value of the correlation coefficient to descriptive statistics.  Use of the term “correlation coefficient” is almost always a short-hand phrase for the Pearson product-moment correlation coefficient.  There are several other well known correlation coefficients such as Spearman’s rho rank correlation coefficient but it usually a safe assumption the correlation being referenced is a Pearson correlation coefficient since it is the most commonly used measure of bivariate association.  It is appropriate to use the Pearson correlation coefficient when the two variables of interest are scored using interval or ratio measures while the associations of ordinal or nominal variables should be compared using alternative methods.  However, all statistical packages will calculate the Pearson correlation coefficient for ordinal or nominal variables (assuming the categories are given numerical values) but the justification for using this statistic relies on assumptions which are either untested or questionable; the resulting value of the statistic may not make real world sense.

Before calculating a Pearson correlation coefficient it is essential and good practice to first visually inspect the relationship between two variables by means of a scatterplot graph.  A bivariate scatterplot allows the researcher to gain better sense of the overall variability of the data but also visualize any systematic relationships the correlation coefficient would be describing such as a general positive or negative linear trend.  A non-linear association e.g., a curvilinear relationship may be present but this would not be described well by the Pearson correlation coefficient.  Also, oftentimes extreme values are readily apparent and may represent outliers or data errors to which Pearson’s correlation coefficient is sensitive.  If the distribution of either of the variables is skewed or contains outliers then transforming the data or using an alternative measure of association may be warranted.  Ignorance regarding the potential presence of these factors may obscure the sample’s true correlation coefficient and ultimately mislead the researcher when making inferences about the target population’s true Pearson correlation coefficient.

The use of Greek letters in statistics is common and the Greek letter rho, symbolized by ρ, represents the Pearson correlation coefficient for a population.  A researcher wants to know rho but in practice it is typically impossible to collect a census (sample the entire target population) so instead a smaller sample is taken from the target population and the sample’s Pearson correlation coefficient is calculated and labeled with a lower case r.  The value of the correlation coefficient always ranges from negative one to positive one.  These values describe perfect negative and positive linear relationships, respectively, while a coefficient value equal to zero indicates the two variables have no linear relationship. Regardless of the calculated value of the Pearson correlation coefficient the researcher is not able to infer causation.  The confusion may be a result of the language and notation used when discussing the correlation of two variables.  For example, it may be said knowing the values of one variable allows the researcher to “predict” the values of the other variable as though one caused the other but this type of prediction is not analogous to causation.  Also, the labeling two variables as X and Y may be mistakenly interpreted as a dependent, independent variable relationship that is customary with regression but for the purposes of calculating correlation coefficients it does not matter which variable is labeled X or Y.






Writing the literature review for your dissertation can be a daunting process. Students are told, “You should find everything published about your topic and review it.”  That can be overwhelming, as your dissertation may be centered on a broad or thoroughly researched topic where there is no shortage of literature.  There are things you can do to make this process much easier – here are five:

1.  Do your research!  This sounds simple, I know.  However, it is imperative that you include the necessary background research to show the reader why this variable is of interest to you and, more importantly, why it is important enough to be studied in this project.

2. Cite primary sources.  When doing your research, you want to find the primary (or original) source.  It can be extremely frustrating and confusing as a reader to read a sentence that says, “Roberts and Johnson (2004, as cited in Lee, 2009) said …” In this example, it seems that the author was too lazy to find the original source.  If your sentence was “Roberts and Johnson (1912, as cited in Lee, 2009),” it would be a bit more forgiving due to the 1912 date.  However, if Lee could find the original source for his 2009 work, why can’t you?  A literature review is a demonstration of tenacity and willingness to go the extra mile for your research study. You are trying to prove that these topics are beneficial to the entire field, should be studied now, and are worthy of consuming the next 12-18 months of your life.

3.  Organize your proposal! Try using a Table of Contents and section headings.  You will have to write a Table of Contents eventually, so you may find it to be easier to start it at the beginning.  It is perfectly okay for you to use headings in your paper, per APA requirements.  Using headings will allow you to see where there are large gaps in your work and to ensure each variable is discussed.

4.  Begin using APA format to cite your references correctly in the body of your literature review immediately.  It is VERY time consuming to try to include these citations after you have finished writing.  When you finish a proposal draft, you will be itching to send it immediately to your Chair, not sit down with your APA manual to determine correct reference format.  Instead, keep your APA manual beside your computer and cite your reference correctly the first time.  Once you correctly type a few of these, you will get the hang of it and can continue without difficulty.

5.  Proofread! Let me say that again – PROOFREAD!  Please do not send your proposal to your Chair for review without proofreading your paper.  Yes, you will miss some small mistakes because you are very close to the work, and you have undoubtedly read your literature review 15 times already.  However, your Chair should not find sentences repeated twice in a row, words in the middle of a sentence that do not belong there, or spelling errors.  If you are concerned, visit the Writing Center on campus for their assistance.  The less your Chair has to edit means the faster she can read your proposal and the more progress you make in a shorter amount of time.

In the big family of punctuation marks, the comma is the black sheep. Few people recognize its significance, so they often leave it out, forcing it to define its purpose while remaining misunderstood by others.. However, the comma plays a crucial role, and when editing dissertation content, you must not overlook it.

The following are the primary areas you will want to make sure to bring cousin comma into the fold to ensure your thesis or dissertation is as complete as can be.

-Serial comma:

According to APA style, you should include the serial comma when writing a series of three or more items.

Incorrect:       The little girl collects pennies, nickels and quarters.

Correct:          The little girl collects pennies, nickels, and quarters.

-In dates that include both the day and year:

Incorrect:       On July 7, 2007 they got married.

Correct:          On July 7, 2007, they got married.

Notice a comma follows both the day and the year.  

However, when you write only a month and year, you do not need commas unless the unit acts as an introductory clause. The following examples are both correct:

July 2007 was when they got married.

In July 2007, they got married.

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-To set off nonrestrictive clauses: Nonrestrictive clauses are extra information in a sentence.  If removed, the sentence would still make sense.

Incorrect:       His mother who was a great musician taught him to play piano.

Correct:          His mother, who was a great musician, taught him to play piano.

-Between coordinate adjectives: Coordinate adjectives are descriptors that you can reorder while maintaining their meaning. In such cases, a comma should separate these adjectives.

Incorrect:       The silly exuberant clown entertained the crowd.

Correct:          The silly, exuberant clown entertained the crowd.

Quick tip: When you edit dissertations and are unsure whether to place a comma between adjectives, try mentally replacing the comma with and—if it makes sense, you should likely include the comma.

-Between an author’s name and the year inside parenthetical citations:

Incorrect:       (Brown 2013).

Correct:          (Brown, 2013).

-After using et al. in parenthetical citations: When editing dissertations, this is an often-overlooked placement for a comma, but when you think about it, this rule follows logically from the one just covered.

Incorrect:       (Smith et al. 2013).

Correct:          (Smith et al., 2013).

This rule applies when editing a dissertation but only for citations. Standard rules apply to et al. when writing out a sentence.

Incorrect:       Smith et al. (2013), noted multiple instances of this phenomenon.

Correct:          Smith et al. (2013) noted multiple instances of this phenomenon.

Correct:          According to Smith et al. (2013), multiple instances of this phenomenon occurred.

Why Do We Have a Margin Of Error In Statistics? If statistics are meant to be accurate, why are they sometimes accompanied by an estimate of doubt?  Well, if we are simply describing something we know everything about, we don’t really need to include an estimate of error. 

For example, descriptive statistics are often used to summarize observations in some way; so if we have tabulated all there is to know (from every member) of the population we are studying, then we don’t need a margin of error.

Introduction to Descriptive and Inferential Statistics

Our statistic is not a guess.  But if we need to infer something about a larger population—and have only a sample to work with—our statistic will be a guess, and that guess will contain some degree of potential error.  Weisstein (2013) defines error as the difference between an actual quantity and our estimate of it.  In inferential statistics a margin of error is how much this difference probably is, either side of the correct figure.

To appreciate this better, let’s introduce two terms: the point estimate, and the interval estimate.  A point estimate is a single guess about the actual figure.  Say for instance, from a population of 10,000 we surveyed 100 people whether they like yogurt, and the mean answer was that 45% said they like yogurt.  We don’t really know what all 10,000 people like, but perhaps it turns out to be 48% that like yogurt.  Our 45% is a point estimate (and we’re a bit off).  Now say we use an interval estimate instead, using our same 45% guess but with a margin of error of plus or minus 3%.  Now we are allowing for an interval of 42% to 48%, which happens to include the correct figure.  It’s easy to see that an interval estimate allows greater flexibility (Nolan & Heinzen, 2011).

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Now let’s use a real-world example.  Say we need to know how many psychologists in North America favor nature over nurture as the explanation for individual behavioral differences (a popular debate and not a bad idea for a survey).  We can’t survey everyone, so we use a sample population representative of the whole population and survey that sample. Mostly opinion polls are a common and useful way to gather data. 

We survey a random sample of 300 psychologists, and we find that naturists represent 55% of the sample population, with nurturists trailing at 45%.  That’s great, but we did not survey every psychologist in North America, so the number we didn’t survey are going to represent our margin of error as some range of possible correct percentages either side of the real percentage.  If our margin of error is 6%, naturists may actually be somewhere between 49% and 61% (55 +- 6) and nurturists may be somewhere between 39% and 51% (45 +- 6).  As you can see, the poll winner can swing either way, depending on our margin of error.

The key is the ratio between our sample size and the full population.  With a population of 100,000 and a sample size of 300, the margin of error is approximately 6% at a 95% confidence level. To achieve greater accuracy, such as a 3% margin of error, surveying at least 1,000 participants (preferably 1,500) is recommended. Notably, for populations of 10,000 or more, a sample size of 1,000 often provides comparable accuracy to much larger samples (American Association for Public Opinion Research, 2007).


References

American Association for Public Opinion Research. (2007). Margin of sampling error. Available at http://www.aapor.org/

Nolan, S. A., & Heinzen, T. E. (2011). Essentials of statistics for the behavioral sciences. New York: Worth Publishers.  View

Weisstein, E. W. (2013). Error. Available at http://mathworld.wolfram.com/Error.html

Analysis of Covariance (ANCOVA) is the inclusion of a continuous variable in addition to the variables of interest (i.e., the dependent and independent variable) as means for control.  Because the ANCOVA is an extension of the ANOVA, the researcher can still can assess main effects and interactions to answer their research hypotheses.  The difference between ANCOVA and ANOVA is that ANCOVA includes a covariate correlated with the dependent variable, adjusting the means on the dependent variable based on the covariate’s effects. Researchers can use covariates in various ANOVA-based designs, including between-subjects, within-subjects (repeated measures), and mixed (between- and within-subjects) designs. Thus, this technique answers the question: Did mean differences or interactive effects likely occur by chance after adjusting scores on the dependent variable for the effect of the covariate?

Increasing the Power of the F-Test in Experimental Designs

Tabachnick and Fidell (2013) review three general applications for an Analysis of Covariance include:

To increase the power of the F-test in experimental designs, researchers assign participants to treatment and control groups in an ANOVA-based design. Researchers can then use ANCOVA to eliminate unwanted variance in the dependent variable. This allows the researcher to increase test sensitivity.  Adding reliable and necessary variables to these models typically reduces the error term.  By reducing the error term, the sensitivity of the F-test also increases for main and interactive effects.

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Equating Non-Equivalent Groups:

Another, though controversial, use of ANCOVA is to correct for initial group differences that exists on the dependent variable.  Using this method, the researcher adjusts means on the dependent variable in an effort to correct for individual differences.  This allows the researcher to adjust the means on the dependent variable to what they would have been should all of the participants scored equally on the covariate.  Researchers commonly use this approach in non-experimental situations when they have not implemented random assignment. However, differences may have also have been due to other variables not measured or included as covariates.

  • Adjustment of Means of Multiple Dependent Variables: This application is similar to the ones outlined above, but when the researcher is measuring multiple dependent variables, such as a Multivariate ANOVA (MANOVA).  This application typically occurs when the researcher wants to assess the contribution of the various dependent variables by removing their effects from the analyses.  This procedure is called a stepdown analysis.

The researcher can go about interpreting main effects and interactions as they typically would.  The difference is that researchers first estimate the regression of the covariate on the dependent variable before partitioning the variance in scores into between-group and within-group. differences.; however, the error term is adjusted from the regression line derived from the covariate on the DV vs. running through the means in ANOVA designs.

References:

Tabachnick, B., & Fidell, L. (2013). Using multivariate statistics (6th ed.)Upper Saddle

River, NJ: Pearson.

Back in the mid-90’s I began as assisting masters’ students with the statistics.  The students came from many disciplines and it was fun to sit in a coffee shop and crunch through research questions.  Then came my own master’s thesis and my own dissertation.  Whatever could take longer did take longer.  While I’m proud of my dissertation, there have been many times I’ve said, “Boy, I’d like those two years back.”  These experiences were the genesis of Intellectus Consulting: Let’s smooth the road, and use the rocks as academic stepping stones rather than stumbling blocks.

When I completed my mixed-method dissertation, I moved to Florida where most of my family resided.  I began marketing research services, developing resources to expedite the research process, and we now run one of the largest and most successful dissertation and theses consulting services in the Country.  But in some ways our job has just begun.

So what have we done and where are we going?  What we’ve done is honed several hundred web pages to assist students with quantitative and qualitative research methods, we’ve developed a dissertation template to show students the necessary bones of the research, data analysis plan templates, sample size write-ups, and the big news… the results chapter software application, Intellectus Statistics.

This online application takes the legwork out of purchasing and conducting analyses in SPSS, figuring out what statistics and assumptions are relevant, interpreting the analyses, and writing the results in APA 6th edition.  (Click here for a free trial)

What is the margin of error in statistics?  It’s about guesses, confidence, and probability.  Guesses over time tend to fall in ranges of values; the ranges help us achieve a degree of confidence; and how confident we are time and again can be described by a percentage of probability.  Margins, like the margins of this page if it were printed, allow us some room for error before the ink spills over onto that mahogany desk.  Margin of error allows us to feel confident a certain percentage of the time within a range of allowable error.

Good Guess.  Often, you will have to make a decision about some data you have gathered, summarizing something—despite uncertainties about how representative your data is of the full population.  It would be ideal if we could somehow know everything there is to know about every member of every population of study, but it is far more likely we will only have a representative sample—and based on that we have to make a guess.  How confident others are of you, or you are of yourself, is based not on guessing correctly just once, but how often your guesses are close to being right (the probability of being right).  This ability to guess very closely to the ideal again and again creates a confidence interval about the ideal, and how far we allow our guess to be above or below the ideal guess is called the margin of error (Nolan & Heinzen, 2011).

Close Guess.  The margin of error is not just a good guess.  The margin of error is a close guess about the confidence interval at a certain level of probability.  Your confidence interval is a range of possible values, typically some deviation from the mean; for example, if your guess is within 2% above or below the mean that would be a margin of error of 2%.  Let’s say your mean is 42, then your confidence interval would be from 40 (42 – 2) to 44 (42 + 2).  However, you also need to convey the likelihood of this interval over a number of trials, which is usually aimed at 95% of the time. This 95% is your level of confidence.

Explicit Guess.  Now that we know our margin of error is a confidence interval at some level of probability, how do we express it? Your margin of error is a plus-or-minus value above and below the ideal, and a percentage figure.  APA style has a nice succinct format to express it.  Using our example, a margin of error of 2% at a confidence level of 95% would be written: M = 42, 95% CI . Typically we would list the standard deviation as well, but for our purposes we will just list our guess as the mean (average) of our sample population (42), the confidence level as a percent (95%), and the margin of error we are allowing (+-2%), where the first figure in brackets (40) is the lower limit of our interval, and the second figure in brackets (44) is the upper limit.  For more specifics if you are using the APA format, please see chapter 4 “The Mechanics of Style” in the APA style manual (American Psychological Association, 2010).

Summary.  What is the margin of error in statistics?  It’s about guesses, confidence, and probability, and it’s about good guesses, close guesses, and explicit guesses.  Margin of error allows us to feel confident a certain percentage of the time, within a range above or below the ideal guess, represented by a margin we believe is least in error.

References

American Psychological Association. (2010). Publication manual of the American Psychological Association (6th ed., Kindle version). Washington, DC: Author.

Nolan, S. A., & Heinzen, T. E. (2011). Essentials of statistics for the behavioral sciences. New York: Worth Publishers.